Language:English
Rinky Hijikata v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rinky Hijikata (Local)
Prediction 8.29%12.06fair odd
EV +14.02%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 13.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.91%8.55%8.30%10.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.7510.9811.0013.7511.43%9.10%9.09%7.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 91.71%1.09fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -46.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.29%91.45%91.70%93.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.041.0698.04%96.57%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 8.29%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 91.71%. For Rinky Hijikata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.06. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +14.02%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.154% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 14:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 13.13I 7.62%NM 7.40%EV +8.88%E +0.676%K +0.732%G +0.065% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.60%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.80%E +0.600%K +0.650%G +0.051% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +4.49%E +0.356%K +0.387%G +0.017% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +4.16%E +0.331%K +0.359%G +0.015% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +4.16%E +0.331%K +0.359%G +0.015% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 14:07 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -2.98%E -0.254%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -4.63%E -0.403%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.71%E -0.596%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.15%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.15%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.79%E -2.63%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.79%E -2.63%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -23.29%E -2.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 14:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -24.54%E -2.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -25.37%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -27.44%E -3.14%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 19.49I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 11.63I 8.60%NM 8.06% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.94% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 14:20 |