A Escola das Odds

Rinky Hijikata v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-05-25 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Previsão 8.29%12.06odd justa
EV +14.02%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.91%8.55%8.30%10.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.7510.9811.0013.7511.43%9.10%9.09%7.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 91.71%1.09odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -2.63%
Kelly -46.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.29%91.45%91.70%93.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.041.041.0698.04%96.57%96.15%94.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +14.02%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.154%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 14:12
Pinnacle13.13I 7.62%NM 7.40%EV +8.88%E +0.676%K +0.732%G +0.065%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.60%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Bovada13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.80%E +0.600%K +0.650%G +0.051%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:19
DraftKings12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +4.49%E +0.356%K +0.387%G +0.017%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 14:20
BetOnline.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +4.16%E +0.331%K +0.359%G +0.015%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 13:40
LowVig.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +4.16%E +0.331%K +0.359%G +0.015%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 13:39
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +3.66%E +0.293%K +0.318%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 14:19
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 14:20
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 14:20
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 14:07
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 14:19
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 14:20
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.489%E -0.041%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 14:20
BetAnything11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -2.98%E -0.254%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:09
Winamax (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -4.63%E -0.403%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:20
Coolbet11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.71%E -0.596%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:19
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 14:09
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:19
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:19
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:20
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:19
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:40
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:20
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:20
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.78%E -0.798%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:19
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:39
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:40
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:40
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -12.93%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:20
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 14:20
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:20
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:20
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.07%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.46%E -6.33%K -322.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:20
Betsson9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.15%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 14:20
NordicBet9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.15%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.79%E -2.63%K -46.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 14:20
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.79%E -2.63%K -46.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 14:20
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:20
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:20
Hard Rock Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.22%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:20
Betclic (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -23.29%E -2.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 14:07
Fliff9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -24.54%E -2.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -5.54%E -5.38%K -184.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 14:15
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -25.37%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.62%E -4.45%K -115.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:20
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -27.44%E -3.14%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets19.49I 5.13%NM 5.11%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%0.4%2026-05-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Matchbook18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-05-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-05-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-05-25 14:20
Novig11.63I 8.60%NM 8.06%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.94%6.6%2026-05-25 14:20