Szkoła Kursów

Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka

Początek: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 20.40%4.90kurs godziwy
EV +18.29%
Przewaga +3.15%
Kelly +3.81%
Wzrost +0.697%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.43%20.26%20.46%23.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.874.805.8025.00%20.54%20.83%17.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jiri Lehecka (Goście)

Prognoza 79.60%1.26kurs godziwy
EV -2.88%
Przewaga -2.36%
Kelly -13.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.63%79.74%79.54%83.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.49%85.84%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +18.29%E +3.15%K +3.81%G +0.697%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:08
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +14.21%E +2.54%K +3.09%G +0.439%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +12.17%E +2.21%K +2.71%G +0.329%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:19
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +12.17%E +2.21%K +2.71%G +0.329%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.84%E -9.68%K -90.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
Pinnacle5.12I 19.53%NM 18.99%EV +4.42%E +0.864%K +1.07%G +0.048%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.01%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 09:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:18
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:04
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:10
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.05%E -8.89%K -77.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.063%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.05%E -8.89%K -77.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 09:20
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:20
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 09:20
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -11.64%E -10.49%K -105.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 09:20
GTbets4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV -3.33%E -0.702%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 08:59
MyBookie.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:01
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Coolbet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:20
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
BetAnything4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:04
BetOnline.ag4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -5.98%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 09:09
LowVig.ag4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -5.98%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 09:09
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 09:00
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -7.40%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:06
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:06
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:12
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:19
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:20
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
DraftKings4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -8.63%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:19
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Novig5.85I 17.09%NM 14.60%1.00I 100.00%NM 85.40%17.1%2026-05-25 09:20