L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prévision 20.40%4.90cote équitable
EV +18.29%
Avantage +3.15%
Kelly +3.81%
Croissance +0.697%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%20.26%20.46%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.874.805.8025.00%20.54%20.83%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)
Prévision 79.60%1.26cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -13.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%79.74%79.54%83.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.49%85.84%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +18.29%E +3.15%K +3.81%G +0.697% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +14.21%E +2.54%K +3.09%G +0.439% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +12.17%E +2.21%K +2.71%G +0.329% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +12.17%E +2.21%K +2.71%G +0.329% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.84%E -9.68%K -90.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +10.14%E +1.88%K +2.30%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +8.10%E +1.53%K +1.88%G +0.152% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.99%EV +4.42%E +0.864%K +1.07%G +0.048% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.01%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +4.02%E +0.788%K +0.980%G +0.039% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +1.98%E +0.395%K +0.494%G +0.010% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.05%E -8.89%K -77.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.063%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -10.05%E -8.89%K -77.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Fliff | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.10%E -0.438%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| TAB | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -11.64%E -10.49%K -105.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| GTbets | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV -3.33%E -0.702%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetAnything | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.27%E -4.43%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -5.98%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -5.98%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -7.40%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betsson | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.47%E -3.73%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:12 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.07%E -5.14%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.86%E -5.87%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -8.63%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.68%E -3.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.45%E -7.35%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.66%E -6.60%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.88%E -2.36%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.25%E -8.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Novig | 5.85I 17.09%NM 14.60% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 85.40% | 17.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |