Language:English
Nuno Borges v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.398%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.73%27.45%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.453.6032.26%29.38%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.84%72.27%72.55%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.81%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 27.49%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 72.51%. For Nuno Borges (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.19%E -5.62%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.86%E -0.521%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 08:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 06:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.68%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.68%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%EV -2.96%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 08:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:56 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:57 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 08:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 08:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -7.08%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 06:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -7.08%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -7.36%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 08:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 06:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.39%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.39%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 04:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Novig◎ | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.45% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.55% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |