La scuola delle quote

Nuno Borges v Andrey Rublev

Inizio: 2026-05-29 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nuno Borges (Casa)

Previsione 27.49%3.64quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.287%
Kelly -0.398%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%27.73%27.45%30.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.403.453.6032.26%29.38%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.51%1.38quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -3.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.84%72.27%72.55%73.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.81%75.76%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 08:09
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.19%E -5.62%K -25.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:19
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.86%E -0.521%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 08:20
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 08:19
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 08:13
FanDuel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 08:19
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.41%E -0.679%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 06:19
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.68%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 08:09
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.68%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 08:09
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%EV -2.96%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-29 08:50
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 08:19
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 08:19
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 20:59
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:19
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:09
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 08:10
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:56
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:57
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 20:59
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 08:09
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:09
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:20
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:48
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:49
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 08:49
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 08:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 08:19
GTbets3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -7.08%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -2.11%E -1.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 06:29
DraftKings3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -7.08%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:09
MyBookie.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -7.36%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:18
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.01%E -3.83%K -16.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:09
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 20:59
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 20:59
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 20:59
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 08:49
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 08:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 21:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 21:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 21:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 21:29
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.29%E -3.25%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:49
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.84%E -2.12%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 02:39
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.74%E -4.41%K -19.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 06:28
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.39%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 02:40
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.39%E -1.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 02:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 02:39
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 04:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Novig3.62I 27.62%NM 27.45%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.55%0.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-05-29 08:49