Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marton Fucsovics v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Previsão 36.51%2.74odd justa
EV +2.24%
Vantagem +0.800%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%36.50%36.41%39.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.622.632.8042.55%38.17%38.02%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 63.49%1.58odd justa
EV +0.942%
Vantagem +0.592%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.10%63.50%63.59%66.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.471.5971.43%67.96%68.03%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 36.51%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 63.49%. Para Marton Fucsovics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.74. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 08:59
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 09:20
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +1.88%E +0.672%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:08
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +1.51%E +0.543%K +0.848%G +0.013%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +1.15%E +0.413%K +0.647%G +0.007%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 09:01
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:13
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 09:20
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -1.05%E -0.386%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 08:59
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 09:04
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:19
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 09:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -2.51%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:10
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:06
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:20
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:19
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:13
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:19
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:19
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 09:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:09
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:09
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 09:20
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.11%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.89%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 09:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:19
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 09:20
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 09:19
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +0.942%E +0.592%K +1.60%G +0.015%4.6%2026-05-25 09:18
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.963%E -0.617%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-25 09:10
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%6.4%2026-05-25 09:20