Idioma:Español
Marton Fucsovics v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Predicción 36.51%2.74momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.800%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%36.50%36.41%39.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.622.632.8042.55%38.17%38.02%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 63.49%1.58momio equitativo
EV +0.942%
Ventaja +0.592%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%63.50%63.59%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5971.43%67.96%68.03%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 36.51%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 63.49%. Para Marton Fucsovics (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +1.88%E +0.672%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +1.51%E +0.543%K +0.848%G +0.013% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +1.15%E +0.413%K +0.647%G +0.007% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -1.05%E -0.386%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -2.51%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.11%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.89%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +0.942%E +0.592%K +1.60%G +0.015% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.963%E -0.617%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |