La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marton Fucsovics v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marton Fucsovics (Casa)
Previsione 36.51%2.74quota equa
EV +2.24%
Vantaggio +0.800%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.028%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.73%36.50%36.41%39.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.622.632.8042.55%38.17%38.02%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.49%1.58quota equa
EV +0.942%
Vantaggio +0.592%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescita +0.015%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.10%63.50%63.59%66.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.471.471.5971.43%67.96%68.03%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.24%E +0.800%K +1.24%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +1.88%E +0.672%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +1.51%E +0.543%K +0.848%G +0.013% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +1.15%E +0.413%K +0.647%G +0.007% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.415%E +0.151%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| GTbets | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -1.05%E -0.386%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.41%E -0.523%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -2.51%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| TAB | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 09:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.11%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.89%EV -9.22%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +0.942%E +0.592%K +1.60%G +0.015% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.963%E -0.617%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |