La scuola delle quote

Jaume Munar v Hubert Hurkacz

Inizio: 2026-05-25 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaume Munar (Casa)

Previsione 44.07%2.27quota equa
EV +1.36%
Vantaggio +0.590%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.62%43.99%44.08%45.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.36%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.93%1.79quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.35%56.01%55.92%58.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.41%59.52%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.36%E +0.590%K +1.04%G +0.014%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 12:39
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:59
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 12:39
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.29%E -0.575%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.977%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 13:10
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 13:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 13:10
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 13:20
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:48
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:10
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:20
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:39
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 13:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 12:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 12:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:19
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:10
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.78%E -4.24%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-25 13:18
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-05-25 13:20