Idioma:Español
Jaume Munar v Hubert Hurkacz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaume Munar (Local)
Predicción 44.07%2.27momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.590%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%43.99%44.08%45.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.36%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)
Predicción 55.93%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.35%56.01%55.92%58.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.41%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jaume Munar (Local): 44.07%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 55.93%. Para Jaume Munar (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.27. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.36%E +0.590%K +1.04%G +0.014% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.29%E -0.575%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.977%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.78%E -4.24%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 13:18 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |