مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaume Munar v Hubert Hurkacz

البداية: 2026-05-25 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaume Munar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.07%2.27السعر العادل
EV +1.36%
الأفضلية +0.590%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.62%43.99%44.08%45.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.36%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.93%1.79السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -1.54%
Kelly -3.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.35%56.01%55.92%58.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.41%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.36%E +0.590%K +1.04%G +0.014%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 12:39
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:59
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.847%E -0.376%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 12:39
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.29%E -0.575%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.977%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 13:10
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 13:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:39
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 13:10
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 13:20
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:48
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:10
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:20
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:39
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 13:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 12:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 12:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:19
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:10
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.78%E -4.24%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-25 13:18
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-05-25 13:20