L’École des cotes

James Duckworth v Gabriel Diallo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

James Duckworth (Local)

Prévision 40.19%2.49cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.973%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%40.25%40.03%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.352.372.5547.62%42.50%42.28%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.81%1.67cote équitable
EV -0.116%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.173%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%59.75%59.97%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.571.571.6768.49%63.69%63.69%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.48%E +0.973%K +1.60%G +0.040%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 09:19
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +1.68%E +0.663%K +1.10%G +0.018%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 09:00
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +0.875%E +0.349%K +0.579%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 08:59
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 09:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 09:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 09:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 09:19
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 09:11
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 09:11
MyBookie.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 09:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:59
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -12.68%E -8.68%K -27.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 09:17
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.34%E -0.963%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 09:08
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.34%E -0.963%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 09:08
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -3.14%E -1.30%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 08:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:19
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 08:58
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:57
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:20
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:10
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 09:19
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:10
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:10
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 09:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -7.97%E -3.48%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.37%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.31%E -0.795%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 09:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 09:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.116%E -0.069%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 09:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -12.39%E -5.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -0.714%E -0.430%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 09:20
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -12.39%E -5.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -0.714%E -0.430%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.31%E -0.795%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -15.60%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -15.60%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%3.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%4.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%8.6%2026-05-24 09:20