La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
James Duckworth v Gabriel Diallo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
James Duckworth (Local)
Predicción 40.19%2.49momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.973%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%40.25%40.03%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.352.372.5547.62%42.50%42.28%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)
Predicción 59.81%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.116%
Ventaja -0.069%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%59.75%59.97%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.571.571.6768.49%63.69%63.69%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.48%E +0.973%K +1.60%G +0.040% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.28%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +1.68%E +0.663%K +1.10%G +0.018% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +0.875%E +0.349%K +0.579%G +0.005% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.473%E +0.189%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 09:11 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 09:11 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV +0.071%E +0.029%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -1.54%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -12.68%E -8.68%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 09:17 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.34%E -0.963%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 09:08 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.34%E -0.963%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 09:08 |
| GTbets | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -3.14%E -1.30%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 08:58 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.36%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.29%E -4.71%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -7.97%E -3.48%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.37%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.31%E -0.795%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.26%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.116%E -0.069%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.58%E -5.27%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -12.39%E -5.68%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -0.714%E -0.430%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -12.39%E -5.68%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -0.714%E -0.430%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.31%E -0.795%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -15.60%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -15.60%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |