Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.27
assuming max odds 1.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 46.99%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 53.01%. For Jakub Mensik (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +6.68%E +2.94%K +5.26%G +0.351% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.843%E -0.400%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.843%E -0.400%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 17:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:17 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -5.54%E -2.76%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV +0.712%E +0.375%K +0.791%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.41%E -0.757%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.48%E -3.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.878%E -0.470%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.878%E -0.470%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |