A Escola das Odds

Jakub Mensik v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-05-31 17:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 46.99%2.13odd justa
EV +6.68%
Vantagem +2.94%
Kelly +5.26%
Crescimento +0.351%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.09%47.03%47.09%49.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.032.022.2751.55%49.37%49.50%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 53.01%1.89odd justa
EV +0.712%
Vantagem +0.375%
Kelly +0.791%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.92%52.97%52.91%57.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.9060.61%55.73%55.56%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +6.68%E +2.94%K +5.26%G +0.351%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:20
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.843%E -0.400%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 17:20
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.843%E -0.400%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 17:20
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 17:20
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 17:18
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 17:19
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.83%E -5.13%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 17:20
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 17:20
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:17
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 17:20
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:20
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -5.54%E -2.76%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV +0.712%E +0.375%K +0.791%G +0.006%2.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.41%E -0.757%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 17:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 17:20
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.48%E -3.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 17:14
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:20
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.878%E -0.470%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 17:20
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.878%E -0.470%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%0.5%2026-05-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-31 17:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-31 17:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-31 17:20