L’École des cotes

Hubert Hurkacz v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 10:56 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prévision 57.82%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.82%57.81%59.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.651.661.6962.89%60.60%60.24%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.18%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.383%
Avantage +0.161%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.46%42.18%42.19%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.47%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.383%E +0.161%K +0.278%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-28 10:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.882%E -0.375%K -0.653%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 10:49
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.882%E -0.375%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-28 10:49
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-28 10:49
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:49
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -8.06%E -5.07%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 10:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 10:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 10:50
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 10:47
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 10:47
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 10:49
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 10:49
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 10:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.68%E -2.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 10:49
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 10:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 10:49
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 10:42
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:42
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 10:49
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 10:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 10:49
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 10:50
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 10:49
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 10:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 10:49
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:49
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:49
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 10:48
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 10:48
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 10:48
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 10:48
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 10:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 10:49
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 10:42
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 10:42
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 10:42
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 10:49
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 10:49
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 10:49
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 10:49
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 10:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-05-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-05-28 10:50