La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hubert Hurkacz v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Predicción 57.82%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%57.82%57.81%59.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.651.661.6962.89%60.60%60.24%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 42.18%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.383%
Ventaja +0.161%
Kelly +0.278%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.46%42.18%42.19%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.47%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.383%E +0.161%K +0.278%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.882%E -0.375%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.882%E -0.375%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -8.06%E -5.07%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -1.30%E -0.557%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 10:47 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 10:47 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.68%E -2.07%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Betsson | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 10:48 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 10:48 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 10:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 10:48 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 10:42 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85% | -0.0% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |