La scuola delle quote

Hamad Medjedovic v Yannick Hanfmann

Inizio: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Casa)

Previsione 62.98%1.59quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.04%63.02%63.17%65.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.34%66.67%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.02%2.70quota equa
EV +4.40%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.11%36.98%36.83%38.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.532.502.8243.10%39.50%40.00%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106%4.0%2026-05-24 15:39
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106%4.0%2026-05-24 15:39
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.81%E +0.656%K +1.03%G +0.019%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.046%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -0.786%E -0.293%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:34
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:40
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:29
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:39
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.49%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:34
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.23%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:38
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:39
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.01%E -1.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:39
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -4.90%E -3.25%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.89%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 15:38
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -14.11%E -6.08%K -10.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07%1.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-05-24 15:40