La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamad Medjedovic v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Predicción 62.98%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.04%63.02%63.17%65.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.34%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 37.02%2.70momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.11%36.98%36.83%38.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.532.502.8243.10%39.50%40.00%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.81%E +0.656%K +1.03%G +0.019% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.046%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -0.786%E -0.293%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 15:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.49%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.23%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.01%E -1.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -4.90%E -3.25%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.89%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -14.11%E -6.08%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |