L’École des cotes

Hamad Medjedovic v Yannick Hanfmann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Prévision 62.98%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.04%63.02%63.17%65.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.34%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.02%2.70cote équitable
EV +4.40%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.11%36.98%36.83%38.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.532.502.8243.10%39.50%40.00%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106%4.0%2026-05-24 15:39
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +4.40%E +1.56%K +2.42%G +0.106%4.0%2026-05-24 15:39
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.81%E +0.656%K +1.03%G +0.019%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.046%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -0.786%E -0.293%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.90%E -0.716%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:34
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:40
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:29
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:39
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.49%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:34
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.23%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:38
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:39
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.19%E -3.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.01%E -1.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.30%E -3.80%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.15%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:39
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -4.90%E -3.25%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.89%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.00%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 15:38
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -14.11%E -6.08%K -10.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07%1.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-05-24 15:40