Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 78.11%; Wu Yibing (Visit): 21.89%. For Wu Yibing (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +5.09%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068% | 3.5% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.40%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.60%EV +3.78%E +0.796%K +1.01%G +0.038% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.710%E +0.154%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.710%E +0.154%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.28%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.72%EV -2.14%E -0.478%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -4.33%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -4.33%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 07:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 07:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -7.61%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 08:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 07:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 07:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.80%E -4.42%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 04:47 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |