L’École des cotes

Flavio Cobolli v Wu Yibing

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 78.11%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -9.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%77.96%78.12%79.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.221.221.2583.33%82.10%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wu Yibing (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.89%4.57cote équitable
EV +5.09%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.13%22.04%21.88%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.364.404.8026.32%22.93%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +5.09%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068%3.5%2026-05-28 08:39
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.40%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.60%EV +3.78%E +0.796%K +1.01%G +0.038%2.4%2026-05-28 08:20
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.710%E +0.154%K +0.197%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-28 07:40
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.710%E +0.154%K +0.197%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-28 07:45
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 08:19
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:38
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:39
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:19
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:39
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:19
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:20
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:19
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.48%E -0.329%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:19
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.28%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.72%EV -2.14%E -0.478%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 08:39
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 07:40
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 07:50
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 07:39
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 07:39
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 07:09
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 08:49
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.67%E -0.834%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 08:20
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -4.33%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -4.33%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:00
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.76%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 07:48
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 08:50
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:29
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:48
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 08:49
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 07:39
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 07:40
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 07:39
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 07:19
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 08:39
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 07:09
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 07:09
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 08:49
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -7.61%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:48
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 08:50
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 07:00
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.93%E -3.19%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 07:09
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:10
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:09
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 07:09
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 07:09
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.27%E -5.23%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 08:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.37%E -1.89%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.80%E -4.42%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 04:47
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-05-28 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-28 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-28 08:50
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-28 08:50
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-05-28 08:50
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-05-28 08:50