Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Flavio Cobolli

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 13:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV +0.876%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.885%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.91%50.58%50.65%51.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9955.56%53.43%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visit)

Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV -0.890%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.881%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.32%49.42%49.35%52.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.942.0155.56%51.80%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 50.69%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 49.31%. For Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.876%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +0.876%E +0.440%K +0.885%G +0.008%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 13:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.15%E -0.590%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 13:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.17%E -1.12%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 13:48
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:48
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:09
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -0.890%E -0.443%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-03 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 13:49
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 13:49
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:48
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 13:09
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:49
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:40
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:49
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:49
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-03 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.76%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-03 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-06-03 13:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-06-03 13:50