La scuola delle quote

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Flavio Cobolli

Inizio: 2026-06-03 13:55 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 50.69%1.97quota equa
EV +0.876%
Vantaggio +0.440%
Kelly +0.885%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.91%50.58%50.65%51.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9955.56%53.43%53.48%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.31%2.03quota equa
EV -0.890%
Vantaggio -0.443%
Kelly -0.881%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.32%49.42%49.35%52.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.931.942.0155.56%51.80%51.55%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +0.876%E +0.440%K +0.885%G +0.008%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 13:09
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.15%E -0.590%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 13:06
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.17%E -1.12%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 13:50
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 13:48
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:48
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:49
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:39
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:09
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -0.890%E -0.443%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-03 13:40
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 13:49
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:48
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 13:49
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 13:49
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:48
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:08
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 13:09
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:49
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 13:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 13:50
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:49
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 13:39
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 13:49
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 13:49
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:49
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 13:49
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-03 13:09
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 13:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.76%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-03 13:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-03 13:50
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-03 13:50
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-06-03 13:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-06-03 13:50