Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Tabilo

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prediction 63.02%1.59fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%63.04%62.96%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.511.5771.43%66.18%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)

Prediction 36.98%2.70fair odd
EV +0.586%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.341%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%36.96%37.04%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.17%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 63.02%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 36.98%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.586%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +0.586%E +0.215%K +0.341%G +0.002%3.4%2026-06-01 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -7.36%E -5.01%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +0.586%E +0.215%K +0.341%G +0.002%4.8%2026-06-01 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-01 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-01 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 15:10
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 14:50
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.88%E -6.91%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 15:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 15:04
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 15:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 15:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.59%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 15:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -4.96%E -1.93%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 14:49
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 14:30
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 15:00
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.06%E -0.674%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -6.07%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.81%E -2.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 14:43
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.18%E -2.86%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 14:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 15:10
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 15:10
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.95%E -1.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 15:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-01 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.14%E -4.17%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 15:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-01 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-01 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.36%E -5.01%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -13.10%E -5.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-01 15:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-01 15:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.88%0.6%2026-06-01 15:07
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-01 15:10