La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 63.02%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.674%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%63.04%62.96%65.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.511.5771.43%66.18%66.23%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 36.98%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.586%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.341%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%36.96%37.04%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.17%39.22%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +0.586%E +0.215%K +0.341%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -7.36%E -5.01%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +0.586%E +0.215%K +0.341%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-01 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 14:50 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.88%E -6.91%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 15:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.00%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.85%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.59%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 15:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -4.96%E -1.93%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 14:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 14:49 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.70%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.06%E -0.674%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -6.07%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.81%E -2.70%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 14:43 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.18%E -2.86%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 15:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.69%E -1.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.95%E -1.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.40%E -3.84%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.84%E -3.21%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.14%E -4.17%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 14:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.25%E -4.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -7.36%E -5.01%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -13.10%E -5.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.88% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 15:07 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-06-01 15:10 |