Language:English
Federico Cinà v Jesper De Jong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Federico Cinà (Local)
Prediction 40.62%2.46fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.767%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%40.53%40.73%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.332.4944.44%42.98%42.92%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Visit)
Prediction 59.38%1.68fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.47%59.27%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.67%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Federico Cinà (Local): 40.62%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 59.38%. For Federico Cinà (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.14%E +0.459%K +0.767%G +0.009% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.331%E +0.134%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 09:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.73%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.95%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.17%E -2.67%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 09:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |