语言:简体中文
Federico Cinà v Jesper De Jong
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Federico Cinà (主队)
预测 40.62%2.46公平赔率
EV +1.14%
优势 +0.459%
Kelly +0.767%
增长率 +0.009%
假设最高赔率为 2.49
博彩公司预测分布
38.93%40.53%40.73%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.332.332.4944.44%42.98%42.92%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jesper De Jong (客队)
预测 59.38%1.68公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -3.11%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
58.14%59.47%59.27%61.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.67%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Federico Cinà (主队)：40.62%；Jesper De Jong (客队)：59.38%。 对于“Federico Cinà (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.49，对应+1.14%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.14%E +0.459%K +0.767%G +0.009% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.331%E +0.134%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 09:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.73%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.40%E -2.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.54%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.95%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.17%E -2.67%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.02%E -1.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.57%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.61%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 09:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |