Language:English
Ethan Quinn v Francisco Comesana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Prediction 41.83%2.39fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.92%42.30%41.86%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.242.252.3751.02%44.69%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visit)
Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%57.70%58.14%59.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.7563.69%60.98%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ethan Quinn (Local): 41.83%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 58.17%. For Francisco Comesana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +1.81%E +1.03%K +2.41%G +0.043% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.26%E -6.95%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.22%E +0.703%K +1.65%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.522%E -0.305%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.42%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -16.35%E -8.17%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -18.02%E -9.19%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.873%E -0.368%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.07%E -4.69%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.64%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |