L’École des cotes

Ethan Quinn v Francisco Comesana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ethan Quinn (Local)

Prévision 41.83%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.873%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.92%42.30%41.86%45.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.242.252.3751.02%44.69%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Comesana (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.17%1.72cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%57.70%58.14%59.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7563.69%60.98%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +1.81%E +1.03%K +2.41%G +0.043%4.8%2026-05-26 16:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.26%E -6.95%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.22%E +0.703%K +1.65%G +0.020%6.3%2026-05-26 16:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.522%E -0.305%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.42%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 16:00
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 16:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -16.35%E -8.17%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.10%E -0.649%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.17%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -18.02%E -9.19%K -18.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 16:10
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.873%E -0.368%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 16:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 16:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.728%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 16:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 16:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:59
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:39
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:39
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:39
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:40
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.02%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:39
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.07%E -4.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 15:49
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:50
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.64%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:10
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:01
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:49
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:50
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:59
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:10
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 16:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 15:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 15:49
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-26 16:10
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-05-26 16:10
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-05-26 16:10