L’École des cotes

Cristian Garin v Learner Tien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cristian Garin (Local)

Prévision 35.58%2.81cote équitable
EV +6.74%
Avantage +2.25%
Kelly +3.37%
Croissance +0.227%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%35.52%35.57%38.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.682.703.0042.02%37.31%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.42%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.940%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.34%64.48%64.43%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:10
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.18%E +1.10%K +1.68%G +0.053%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV +2.12%E +0.737%K +1.13%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 13:10
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +1.40%E +0.493%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 13:08
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 13:04
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.80%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 13:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 13:09
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:56
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 13:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:57
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:09
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 13:09
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:04
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:09
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:04
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:56
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 13:10
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 13:10
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 12:59
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:56
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:09
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 13:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 13:10
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:04
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:59
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -15.32%E -6.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%5.7%2026-05-26 13:10