مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cristian Garin v Learner Tien

البداية: 2026-05-26 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cristian Garin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.58%2.81السعر العادل
EV +6.74%
الأفضلية +2.25%
Kelly +3.37%
النمو +0.227%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.19%35.52%35.57%38.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.682.703.0042.02%37.31%37.04%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Learner Tien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 64.42%1.55السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.940%
Kelly -2.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.34%64.48%64.43%68.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:10
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.18%E +1.10%K +1.68%G +0.053%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV +2.12%E +0.737%K +1.13%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 13:10
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +1.40%E +0.493%K +0.759%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 13:08
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 13:04
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.80%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 13:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 13:09
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:56
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 13:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:57
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:09
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 13:09
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:04
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 13:09
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:09
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:04
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:56
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 13:10
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 13:10
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 12:59
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:56
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:09
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 13:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 13:10
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 13:04
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:59
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 13:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -15.32%E -6.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 13:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.5%2026-05-26 13:10
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%5.7%2026-05-26 13:10