La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cristian Garin v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristian Garin (Local)
Predicción 35.58%2.81momio equitativo
EV +6.74%
Ventaja +2.25%
Kelly +3.37%
Crecimiento +0.227%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%35.52%35.57%38.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.682.703.0042.02%37.31%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 64.42%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.34%64.48%64.43%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.74%E +2.25%K +3.37%G +0.227% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.18%E +1.10%K +1.68%G +0.053% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV +2.12%E +0.737%K +1.13%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.39%E -9.11%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +1.40%E +0.493%K +0.759%G +0.011% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 13:08 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.375%E -0.134%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 13:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.80%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:57 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.15%E -0.783%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 13:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| TAB | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betway | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.24%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.64%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 13:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.940%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.10%E -8.04%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -15.32%E -6.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-26 13:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |
| Novig | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 13:10 |