Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 73.17%; Jurij Rodionov (Visit): 26.83%. For Jurij Rodionov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.623%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.623%E +0.166%K +0.227%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.718%E -0.194%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.718%E -0.194%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -1.79%E -0.490%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.06%E -0.564%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.42%E -2.59%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.48%EV -7.96%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.23%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.23%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -9.04%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.42%E -2.59%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.493%E -0.362%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.50%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |