La escuela de los momios

Arthur Rinderknech v Jurij Rodionov

Inicio: 2026-05-25 09:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Predicción 73.17%1.37momio equitativo
EV -0.493%
Ventaja -0.362%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%72.90%73.09%74.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.301.301.3680.65%77.11%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jurij Rodionov (Visitante)

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.623%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.227%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.70%27.10%26.91%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.59%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.623%E +0.166%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-25 09:08
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.718%E -0.194%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 09:10
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.718%E -0.194%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 09:08
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -1.79%E -0.490%K -0.674%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:10
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.06%E -0.564%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 09:10
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:10
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 08:58
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 08:58
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 08:58
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.42%E -2.59%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:01
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:10
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:10
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:58
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 09:04
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:59
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:10
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:10
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:09
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 09:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 09:09
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:10
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.48%EV -7.96%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.23%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 09:09
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.23%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 09:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:10
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:09
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 09:09
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -2.69%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -9.04%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:10
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.08%E -5.57%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 09:09
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.42%E -2.59%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.88%E -3.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.35%E -4.96%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 09:09
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.493%E -0.362%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.50%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-25 09:10
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-05-25 09:10
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%2.5%2026-05-25 09:10