Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Zachary Svajda

Início: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 86.06%1.16odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -2.43%
Kelly -21.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.39%86.04%86.07%88.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.091.101.1395.24%91.44%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zachary Svajda (Visitante)

Previsão 13.94%7.17odd justa
EV +11.64%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescimento +0.193%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.88%13.96%13.93%15.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.006.927.008.0116.67%14.45%14.29%12.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 86.06%; Zachary Svajda (Visitante): 13.94%. Para Zachary Svajda (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.17. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +11.64%E +1.45%K +1.66%G +0.193%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:09
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +8.72%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.112%3.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%5.3%2026-05-26 09:02
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.57%EV -9.63%E -9.18%K -192.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%8.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.83%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.17%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%3.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:06
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:04
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:01
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.03%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.97%EV -2.99%E -0.430%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.13%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV -4.66%E -0.682%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.62%E -0.987%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:09
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 88.26%7.52I 13.30%NM 11.74%13.3%2026-05-26 09:10