L’École des cotes

Alexei Popyrin v Zachary Svajda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Prévision 86.06%1.16cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -21.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%86.04%86.07%88.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.101.1395.24%91.44%90.91%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.94%7.17cote équitable
EV +11.64%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.193%

avec la cote maximale 8.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.88%13.96%13.93%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.927.008.0116.67%14.45%14.29%12.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +11.64%E +1.45%K +1.66%G +0.193%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:09
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +8.72%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.112%3.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%5.3%2026-05-26 09:02
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.57%EV -9.63%E -9.18%K -192.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%8.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 86.83%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.17%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%3.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:09
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:06
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:04
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:01
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:58
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.03%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.97%EV -2.99%E -0.430%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.13%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV -4.66%E -0.682%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.62%E -0.987%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:09
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 88.26%7.52I 13.30%NM 11.74%13.3%2026-05-26 09:10