La scuola delle quote

Alexei Popyrin v Zachary Svajda

Inizio: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Casa)

Previsione 86.06%1.16quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -2.43%
Kelly -21.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.39%86.04%86.07%88.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.091.101.1395.24%91.44%90.91%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.94%7.17quota equa
EV +11.64%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.193%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.88%13.96%13.93%15.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.927.008.0116.67%14.45%14.29%12.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +11.64%E +1.45%K +1.66%G +0.193%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:09
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +11.50%E +1.44%K +1.64%G +0.189%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +8.72%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.112%3.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.77%E -8.28%K -146.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.53%E +0.605%K +0.698%G +0.032%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%5.3%2026-05-26 09:02
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.57%EV -9.63%E -9.18%K -192.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV +3.14%E +0.424%K +0.491%G +0.015%8.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 86.83%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.17%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%3.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:09
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +2.03%E +0.277%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:06
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:04
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:01
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:58
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.19%E -5.68%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.43%E -0.348%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.03%EV -2.75%E -2.43%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.97%EV -2.99%E -0.430%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.13%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV -4.66%E -0.682%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.62%E -0.987%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:09
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.05%E -6.53%K -88.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.40%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.61%E -3.22%K -30.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.91%E -7.40%K -113.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -12.89%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.47%E -4.03%K -40.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.33%E -4.85%K -53.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.37%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:07
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 88.26%7.52I 13.30%NM 11.74%13.3%2026-05-26 09:10