Language:English
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Moise Kouame
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prediction 73.27%1.36fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.33%73.50%73.07%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.24%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Moise Kouame (Visit)
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +6.93%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%26.50%26.93%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.504.0031.25%28.64%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 73.27%; Moise Kouame (Visit): 26.73%. For Moise Kouame (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +6.93%E +1.73%K +2.31%G +0.160% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.93%E +1.73%K +2.31%G +0.160% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +4.80%E +1.22%K +1.64%G +0.079% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.09%E -0.294%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.42%E -0.664%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.42%E -0.664%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -1.82%E -1.36%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.36%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -9.37%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -1.82%E -1.36%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.09%E -0.808%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.09%E -0.808%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |