La escuela de los momios

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Moise Kouame

Inicio: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Predicción 73.27%1.36momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.33%73.50%73.07%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.24%76.92%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Moise Kouame (Visitante)

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +6.93%
Ventaja +1.73%
Kelly +2.31%
Crecimiento +0.160%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%26.50%26.93%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.493.504.0031.25%28.64%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +6.93%E +1.73%K +2.31%G +0.160%5.0%2026-05-28 09:09
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.61%E -8.70%K -48.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.93%E +1.73%K +2.31%G +0.160%7.0%2026-05-28 09:09
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +4.80%E +1.22%K +1.64%G +0.079%5.5%2026-05-28 09:01
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 09:14
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.09%E -0.294%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:19
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.42%E -0.664%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 08:59
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.42%E -0.664%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:57
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:06
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:20
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:20
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:09
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -1.82%E -1.36%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 09:10
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:19
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.36%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 09:10
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:19
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:09
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:01
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 09:20
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:01
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:09
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:08
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:01
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 08:59
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:19
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 09:19
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -9.37%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:19
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.29%E -2.49%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:19
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:19
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -1.82%E -1.36%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:08
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.56%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:05
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.49%E -4.25%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.09%E -0.808%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.09%E -0.808%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -8.42%E -6.73%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-28 09:20
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%2.3%2026-05-28 09:20
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-05-28 09:20
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-05-28 09:20