A Escola das Odds

Jakub Mensik v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 57.56%1.74odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.70%57.55%60.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.641.641.6963.69%60.93%60.98%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 42.44%2.36odd justa
EV +1.00%
Vantagem +0.421%
Kelly +0.726%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%42.30%42.45%43.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.242.3846.51%44.64%44.64%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.00%E +0.421%K +0.726%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-23 12:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 13:55
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:07
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 13:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 16:04
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 13:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 15:09
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.36%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 16:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 16:30
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 13:09
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.53%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 14:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 13:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 15:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 16:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-02-24 16:30