Szkoła Kursów

Jakub Mensik v Hubert Hurkacz

Początek: 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.56%1.74kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -3.94%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.58%57.70%57.55%60.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.641.641.6963.69%60.93%60.98%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Hubert Hurkacz (Goście)

Prognoza 42.44%2.36kurs godziwy
EV +1.00%
Przewaga +0.421%
Kelly +0.726%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.75%42.30%42.45%43.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.242.242.3846.51%44.64%44.64%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.00%E +0.421%K +0.726%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-23 12:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 13:55
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:07
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 13:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 16:04
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 13:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 15:09
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.36%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 16:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 16:30
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 13:09
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.53%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 14:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 13:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 15:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 16:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (1)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-02-24 16:30