La scuola delle quote

Jakub Mensik v Hubert Hurkacz

Inizio: 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Casa)

Previsione 57.56%1.74quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%57.70%57.55%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.641.641.6963.69%60.93%60.98%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.44%2.36quota equa
EV +1.00%
Vantaggio +0.421%
Kelly +0.726%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%42.30%42.45%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.242.242.3846.51%44.64%44.64%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.00%E +0.421%K +0.726%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-23 12:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 13:55
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:07
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.24%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 13:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 16:04
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.17%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 13:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 16:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 15:09
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.36%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 16:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 16:30
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.79%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 13:55
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 13:09
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.53%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 16:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 14:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 13:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 15:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 16:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 14:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-02-24 16:30