Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Zhizhen Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 79.08%1.26fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -11.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.03%78.95%81.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.14%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zhizhen Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 20.92%4.78fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 5.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.94%20.97%21.05%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.484.455.0525.00%22.31%22.47%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 79.08%; Zhizhen Zhang (Visit): 20.92%. For Zhizhen Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +5.63%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.078% | 4.5% | 2026-02-23 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.45%E +0.298%K +0.376%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.47%E -6.39%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.400%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +0.191%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-23 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +0.191%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-23 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.646%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-23 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.646%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.69%E -0.360%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 14:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.69%E -0.360%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -2.73%E -2.22%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV -2.32%E -0.497%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-23 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.47%E -6.39%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -2.74%E -0.589%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-23 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.83%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.31%E -3.56%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-23 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 11:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.31%E -3.56%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-23 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.73%E -2.22%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 06:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 06:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-23 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 06:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 06:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 14:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 14:50 |