A Escola das Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Zhizhen Zhang

Início: 2026-02-23 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 79.08%1.26odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -11.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%79.03%78.95%81.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.14%83.33%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zhizhen Zhang (Visitante)

Previsão 20.92%4.78odd justa
EV +5.63%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.94%20.97%21.05%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.484.455.0525.00%22.31%22.47%19.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +5.63%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.078%4.5%2026-02-23 14:45
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.45%E +0.298%K +0.376%G +0.005%4.7%2026-02-23 14:34
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.47%E -6.39%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.400%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +0.191%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 14:44
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +0.191%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 14:40
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.646%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 14:34
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.646%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 14:50
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.69%E -0.360%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 14:33
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.69%E -0.360%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 14:35
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -2.73%E -2.22%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV -2.32%E -0.497%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-23 14:50
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.47%E -6.39%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -2.74%E -0.589%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 12:20
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 14:40
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 14:50
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 14:44
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.89%E -4.95%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.83%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 14:54
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.31%E -3.56%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 14:54
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 11:44
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 11:44
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 11:45
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 07:45
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 14:35
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.31%E -3.56%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 14:45
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.73%E -2.22%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:29
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.52%E -2.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 06:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 06:45
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.68%E -5.66%K -37.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 06:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 06:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.10%E -4.25%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 14:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-02-23 14:50