Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 79.34%1.26fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -14.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%79.41%79.27%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.201.2286.21%83.81%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit)
Prediction 20.66%4.84fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%20.59%20.73%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.634.705.1023.81%21.61%21.28%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 79.34%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit): 20.66%. For Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.36%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.070% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +4.32%E +0.856%K +1.07%G +0.046% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.96%E -6.86%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.48%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.52%EV +3.08%E +0.618%K +0.773%G +0.024% | 2.7% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.84%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.16%EV +2.88%E +0.578%K +0.723%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 11:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.22%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.191%E +0.039%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -2.70%E -0.573%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 11:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 09:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 09:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -3.94%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 10:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.01%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.83%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 08:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.83%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 08:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 06:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -8.07%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.55%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -11.17%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 08:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.20%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 18:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |