L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 79.34%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -14.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.49%79.41%79.27%81.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.191.201.2286.21%83.81%83.33%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.66%4.84cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.66%20.59%20.73%22.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.634.705.1023.81%21.61%21.28%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.36%E +1.05%K +1.31%G +0.070%5.1%2026-02-25 09:25
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +4.32%E +0.856%K +1.07%G +0.046%4.5%2026-02-25 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027%3.3%2026-02-25 09:00
Betway1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.96%E -6.86%K -49.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027%6.2%2026-02-25 10:45
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.48%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.52%EV +3.08%E +0.618%K +0.773%G +0.024%2.7%2026-02-25 11:55
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 80.84%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.16%EV +2.88%E +0.578%K +0.723%G +0.021%4.8%2026-02-25 11:54
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.22%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%5.2%2026-02-25 11:30
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.191%E +0.039%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 11:45
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.87%E -0.395%K -0.500%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 11:55
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -2.70%E -0.573%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 11:54
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:44
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 11:45
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 09:24
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 09:25
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.91%E -0.619%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 09:23
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.18%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -3.94%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 10:29
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 09:00
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 11:55
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.01%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:10
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.83%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 08:25
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.00%E -3.30%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.83%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 08:24
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 11:20
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 20:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 23:14
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 23:15
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 06:24
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 23:54
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 23:54
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -8.07%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 09:44
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 09:25
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:55
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.55%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 23:39
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.38%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -11.17%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 08:24
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.20%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 11:19
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.20%E -2.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 18:34
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-02-25 11:55