Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV +0.411%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.59%45.62%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.2050.00%48.55%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 54.36%1.84fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%54.41%54.38%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.761.8259.88%56.86%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 45.64%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 54.36%. For Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.411%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.411%E +0.187%K +0.343%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 05:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.87%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.61%E -0.890%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 21:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 07:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 06:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.52%E -2.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 10:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 08:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 10:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 09:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 09:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.89%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.89%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.07%E -0.587%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 12:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |