La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 45.64%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.411%
Ventaja +0.187%
Kelly +0.343%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.59%45.62%47.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.2050.00%48.55%48.78%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 54.36%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.60%54.41%54.38%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.761.8259.88%56.86%56.82%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.411%E +0.187%K +0.343%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 05:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.87%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 12:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.61%E -0.890%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 21:18 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 07:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 06:34 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 07:59 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 08:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.52%E -2.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| GTbets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.98%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 08:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 10:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 09:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 09:14 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 12:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.89%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.89%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 10:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.07%E -0.587%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 12:54 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:14 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 09:15 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 12:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 12:55 |